The article presents data obtained through bioclimatic modeling of Phlomoides sogdiana, a species distributed in the flora of Uzbekistan whose current range has been shrinking. The study revealed that the species is distributed in Jizzakh, Samarkand, Navoi, Kashkadarya, and Surkhandarya regions. For the first time, a bioclimatic model map of Ph. sogdiana was created. Under future climate scenarios SSP1-RCP 2.6 and SSP5-RCP 8.5, an increase of +1℃ in the annual mean temperature is predicted to have a positive effect on the species’ growth, leading to an expansion of its potential distribution range.

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