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American Journal of Applied Science and Technology

Peer Reviewed | Open Access | E-ISSN: 2771-2745
Published Article

Predictive Modeling of Research Productivity in Higher Educational Institutes Using Regression and Deep Learning

Predictive Modeling of Research Productivity in Higher Educational Institutes Using Regression and Deep Learning

  • Dr. Leka Tarosa
    Department of AI and Information Systems Vanuatu Institute of Smart Technologies Port Vila, Vanuatu
  • Dr. Naomi Kalolo
    Laboratory of Data Science and Intelligent Applications Pacific Digital Research Center Port Vila, Vanuatu

Research productivity has become a fundamental indicator for evaluating the academic performance, institutional reputation, and global competitiveness of higher educational institutes. Universities increasingly rely on quantitative performance indicators to allocate research funding, assess faculty achievements, and formulate strategic development policies. However, research productivity is influenced by numerous interrelated institutional, professional, and individual factors, making accurate prediction a complex analytical challenge. Conventional statistical approaches have provided valuable insights into linear relationships among productivity determinants, yet they often fail to capture complex nonlinear interactions present in large educational datasets. Recent developments in machine learning, particularly deep learning, offer new opportunities for developing predictive models capable of identifying hidden relationships and improving forecasting accuracy.

This research and review article develops a predictive modeling framework integrating regression analysis with deep learning techniques to estimate research productivity in higher educational institutes. The study synthesizes previous investigations concerning faculty motivation, institutional performance, research evaluation indicators, scientometric analysis, organizational risk, and productivity assessment to establish a comprehensive analytical foundation. Regression analysis is employed to quantify statistically significant predictors, while deep learning models are proposed to capture multidimensional nonlinear relationships among institutional and academic variables. The proposed framework demonstrates how hybrid predictive approaches can improve institutional decision-making, faculty development strategies, and research policy formulation.

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